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The climate system and
the climate model which simulates it
needs complicated and enormous amount of calculations.
In the Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo,
numerical calculations are done using the supercomputer in
the Computer
Centre, University of Tokyo.
When we calculate the following three equations using the computer,
¡¡C1 = A1 + B1
¡¡C2 = A2 + B2
¡¡C3 = A3 + B3
it is faster dealing with them at one time such as
A1 A2 A3
+ + +
B1 B2 B3
(Of course this needs more memories.) than dealing with them one at a
time as listed first. The former is called the scalar calculation and
the latter is called the vector calculation. Supercomputer is a
calculator which can do the vector calculation with high speed and
large memory.
The above graph indicates that the computer has increased its power by
leaps and bounds in these 30 years. Its power is more than 10 times
bigger than that in 10 years ago.
The next graph depicts the improvement in accuracy of the daily
weather forecast by the atmospheric model.
Thanks to the progress in meteorology and to the improvement in
computing technology, the weather forecast for the next one week
becomes fairly reliable.
However, for the climate model which
have to calculate for more than 10 to 100 model years,
the present computer power is not enough.
In the climate model, the atmosphere and the ocean is divided into grids
and the change of physical quantities such as wind and temperature are
calculated at each grid.
As we are simulating the complicated natural phenomena,
the finer resolution is the better.
However, as the atmosphere and the ocean extends into three dimension:
zonal, meridional, and vertical, if the distance between neighboring
grid points is simply reduced to half in every direction, the number
of grid points becomes 2 × 2 × 2 = 8 times as many. If the
fine resolution
is adopted, time step must be set short correspondingly (Upper limit
for one time step is a few minutes for the
atmospheric model and a few hours for the
ocean model.). Thus, for the realization of the climate model with
the finer resolution and the higher accuracy, the supercomputer with
the more memory and high speed is needed.
The difference between the fine and the coarse resolution is obvious
in the illustration below, isn't it?
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